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Bolton vs Stoke prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Bolton43%
1-1likeliest score
Stoke30%
Draw 27%

Match preview

Bolton are favourites at home to Stoke with a 43% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Stoke have a 30% chance and a draw is 27%.

We expect around 2.6 goals (Bolton 1.4, Stoke 1.2), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 48% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 53%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Bolton win43%
Draw27%
Stoke win30%

Goals

1.4–1.2Expected goals
48%Over 2.5 goals
52%Under 2.5 goals
53%Both teams score

Bolton vs Stoke: quick answers

Who will win Bolton vs Stoke?

Bolton are favourites to win, with a 43% chance. Bolton 43%, draw 27%, Stoke 30%.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Stoke?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Bolton 1.4, Stoke 1.2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 53% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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