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Mainz vs Leverkusen prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Mainz29%
1-1likeliest score
Leverkusen44%
Draw 26%

Match preview

Leverkusen are favourites away at Mainz with a 44% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Mainz have a 29% chance and a draw is 26%.

We expect around 2.9 goals (Mainz 1.3, Leverkusen 1.6), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 56% for over.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (59%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Mainz win29%
Draw26%
Leverkusen win44%

Goals

1.3–1.6Expected goals
56%Over 2.5 goals
44%Under 2.5 goals
59%Both teams score

Mainz vs Leverkusen: quick answers

Who will win Mainz vs Leverkusen?

Leverkusen are favourites to win, with a 44% chance. Mainz 29%, draw 26%, Leverkusen 44%.

What is the predicted score for Mainz vs Leverkusen?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Mainz 1.3, Leverkusen 1.6.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 59% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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