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Monaco vs Toulouse prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Monaco57%
1-1likeliest score
Toulouse20%
Draw 23%

Match preview

Monaco are favourites at home to Toulouse with a 57% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Toulouse have a 20% chance and a draw is 23%.

Goals look likely. We expect around 3.0 goals in total (Monaco 1.9, Toulouse 1.1), with a 58% chance of three or more.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (57%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Monaco win57%
Draw23%
Toulouse win20%

Goals

1.9–1.1Expected goals
58%Over 2.5 goals
42%Under 2.5 goals
57%Both teams score

Monaco vs Toulouse: quick answers

Who will win Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco are favourites to win, with a 57% chance. Monaco 57%, draw 23%, Toulouse 20%.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Toulouse?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Monaco 1.9, Toulouse 1.1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 57% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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