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Almeria vs Leganes prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Almeria57%
1-0predicted score
Leganes19%
Draw 23%

Match preview

Almeria are favourites at home to Leganes with a 57% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Leganes have a 19% chance and a draw is 23%.

We expect around 2.7 goals (Almeria 1.8, Leganes 0.9), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 52% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 51%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Almeria win57%
Draw23%
Leganes win19%

Goals

1.8–0.9Expected goals
52%Over 2.5 goals
48%Under 2.5 goals
51%Both teams score

Almeria vs Leganes: quick answers

Who will win Almeria vs Leganes?

Almeria are favourites to win, with a 57% chance. Almeria 57%, draw 23%, Leganes 19%.

What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Leganes?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Almeria 1.8, Leganes 0.9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 51% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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