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Predictions / Brasileirão Série A

Atletico-MG vs Santos prediction

PredictionSunday, 11 October 2026
Atletico-MG51%
1-1likeliest score
Santos24%
Draw 25%

Match preview

Atletico-MG are favourites at home to Santos with a 51% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Santos have a 24% chance and a draw is 25%.

We expect around 2.6 goals (Atletico-MG 1.6, Santos 1.0), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 49% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 52%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Atletico-MG win51%
Draw25%
Santos win24%

Goals

1.6–1.0Expected goals
49%Over 2.5 goals
51%Under 2.5 goals
52%Both teams score

Atletico-MG vs Santos: quick answers

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Santos?

Atletico-MG are favourites to win, with a 51% chance. Atletico-MG 51%, draw 25%, Santos 24%.

What is the predicted score for Atletico-MG vs Santos?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.6, Santos 1.0.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 52% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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