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Bahia vs Mirassol prediction

PredictionSunday, 11 October 2026
Bahia48%
1-1likeliest score
Mirassol27%
Draw 26%

Match preview

Bahia are favourites at home to Mirassol with a 48% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Mirassol have a 27% chance and a draw is 26%.

We expect around 2.7 goals (Bahia 1.6, Mirassol 1.1), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 52% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 55%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Bahia win48%
Draw26%
Mirassol win27%

Goals

1.6–1.1Expected goals
52%Over 2.5 goals
48%Under 2.5 goals
55%Both teams score

Bahia vs Mirassol: quick answers

Who will win Bahia vs Mirassol?

Bahia are favourites to win, with a 48% chance. Bahia 48%, draw 26%, Mirassol 27%.

What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Mirassol?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Bahia 1.6, Mirassol 1.1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 55% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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