Sao Paulo vs Vitoria prediction

Sao Paulo are favourites at home to Vitoria with a 53% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Vitoria have a 20% chance and a draw is 27%.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.3 expected goals (Sao Paulo 1.5, Vitoria 0.8) and only a 40% chance of three or more goals.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 42%. The single most likely score is 1-0, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.