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Sassuolo vs Milan prediction

PredictionSunday, 11 October 2026
Sassuolo26%
1-1likeliest score
Milan50%
Draw 25%

Match preview

Milan are favourites away at Sassuolo with a 50% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Sassuolo have a 26% chance and a draw is 25%.

We expect around 2.8 goals (Sassuolo 1.1, Milan 1.7), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 53% for over.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (56%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Sassuolo win26%
Draw25%
Milan win50%

Goals

1.1–1.7Expected goals
53%Over 2.5 goals
47%Under 2.5 goals
56%Both teams score

Sassuolo vs Milan: quick answers

Who will win Sassuolo vs Milan?

Milan are favourites to win, with a 50% chance. Sassuolo 26%, draw 25%, Milan 50%.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Milan?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.1, Milan 1.7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 56% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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