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Heerenveen vs Excelsior prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Heerenveen46%
2-1predicted score
Excelsior28%
Draw 26%

Match preview

Heerenveen are favourites at home to Excelsior with a 46% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Excelsior have a 28% chance and a draw is 26%.

We expect around 3.0 goals (Heerenveen 1.7, Excelsior 1.3), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 58% for over.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (61%). Our predicted score is 2-1, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Heerenveen win46%
Draw26%
Excelsior win28%

Goals

1.7–1.3Expected goals
58%Over 2.5 goals
42%Under 2.5 goals
61%Both teams score

Heerenveen vs Excelsior: quick answers

Who will win Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Heerenveen are favourites to win, with a 46% chance. Heerenveen 46%, draw 26%, Excelsior 28%.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Our predicted score is 2-1. Expected goals: Heerenveen 1.7, Excelsior 1.3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 61% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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