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Roma vs Genoa prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Roma63%
1-0predicted score
Genoa14%
Draw 23%

Match preview

Roma are strong favourites at home to Genoa, with a 63% chance of winning. Genoa win 14% of the time in our model, and the draw is 23%.

We expect around 2.5 goals (Roma 1.8, Genoa 0.7), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 47% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 43%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Roma win63%
Draw23%
Genoa win14%

Goals

1.8–0.7Expected goals
47%Over 2.5 goals
53%Under 2.5 goals
43%Both teams score

Roma vs Genoa: quick answers

Who will win Roma vs Genoa?

Roma are favourites to win, with a 63% chance. Roma 63%, draw 23%, Genoa 14%.

What is the predicted score for Roma vs Genoa?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Roma 1.8, Genoa 0.7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 43% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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