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Groningen vs Ajax prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Groningen30%
1-2predicted score
Ajax42%
Draw 27%

Match preview

Ajax are favourites away at Groningen with a 42% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Groningen have a 30% chance and a draw is 27%.

We expect around 2.9 goals (Groningen 1.3, Ajax 1.6), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 55% for over.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (59%). Our predicted score is 1-2, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Groningen win30%
Draw27%
Ajax win42%

Goals

1.3–1.6Expected goals
55%Over 2.5 goals
45%Under 2.5 goals
59%Both teams score

Groningen vs Ajax: quick answers

Who will win Groningen vs Ajax?

Ajax are favourites to win, with a 42% chance. Groningen 30%, draw 27%, Ajax 42%.

What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Ajax?

Our predicted score is 1-2. Expected goals: Groningen 1.3, Ajax 1.6.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 59% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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