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Milan vs Atalanta prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Milan40%
1-0predicted score
Atalanta34%
Draw 27%

Match preview

Our model sees Milan vs Atalanta as a closely matched Serie A game: Milan have a 40% chance of winning, Atalanta 34%, and there's a 27% chance of a draw.

We expect around 2.6 goals (Milan 1.4, Atalanta 1.2), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 48% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 53%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Milan win40%
Draw27%
Atalanta win34%

Goals

1.4–1.2Expected goals
48%Over 2.5 goals
52%Under 2.5 goals
53%Both teams score

Milan vs Atalanta: quick answers

Who will win Milan vs Atalanta?

Milan are favourites to win, with a 40% chance. Milan 40%, draw 27%, Atalanta 34%.

What is the predicted score for Milan vs Atalanta?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Milan 1.4, Atalanta 1.2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 53% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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