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Moreirense vs Gil Vicente prediction

PredictionFriday, 9 October 2026
Moreirense37%
1-1likeliest score
Gil Vicente35%
Draw 28%

Match preview

Our model sees Moreirense vs Gil Vicente as a closely matched Primeira Liga game: Moreirense have a 37% chance of winning, Gil Vicente 35%, and there's a 28% chance of a draw.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.3 expected goals (Moreirense 1.2, Gil Vicente 1.1) and only a 39% chance of three or more goals.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 46%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Moreirense win37%
Draw28%
Gil Vicente win35%

Goals

1.2–1.1Expected goals
39%Over 2.5 goals
61%Under 2.5 goals
46%Both teams score

Moreirense vs Gil Vicente: quick answers

Who will win Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Moreirense are favourites to win, with a 37% chance. Moreirense 37%, draw 28%, Gil Vicente 35%.

What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Moreirense 1.2, Gil Vicente 1.1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 46% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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