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Arouca vs Estrela prediction

PredictionSunday, 11 October 2026
Arouca53%
1-1likeliest score
Estrela24%
Draw 23%

Match preview

Arouca are favourites at home to Estrela with a 53% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Estrela have a 24% chance and a draw is 23%.

We expect around 2.9 goals (Arouca 1.8, Estrela 1.1), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 56% for over.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (56%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Arouca win53%
Draw23%
Estrela win24%

Goals

1.8–1.1Expected goals
56%Over 2.5 goals
44%Under 2.5 goals
56%Both teams score

Arouca vs Estrela: quick answers

Who will win Arouca vs Estrela?

Arouca are favourites to win, with a 53% chance. Arouca 53%, draw 23%, Estrela 24%.

What is the predicted score for Arouca vs Estrela?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Arouca 1.8, Estrela 1.1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 56% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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