Pundict

Predictions / La Liga

Alaves vs Ath Madrid prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Alaves28%
1-1likeliest score
Ath Madrid45%
Draw 27%

Match preview

Ath Madrid are favourites away at Alaves with a 45% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Alaves have a 28% chance and a draw is 27%.

We expect around 2.5 goals (Alaves 1.1, Ath Madrid 1.4), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 45% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 50%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Alaves win28%
Draw27%
Ath Madrid win45%

Goals

1.1–1.4Expected goals
45%Over 2.5 goals
55%Under 2.5 goals
50%Both teams score

Alaves vs Ath Madrid: quick answers

Who will win Alaves vs Ath Madrid?

Ath Madrid are favourites to win, with a 45% chance. Alaves 28%, draw 27%, Ath Madrid 45%.

What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Ath Madrid?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Alaves 1.1, Ath Madrid 1.4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 50% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

More La Liga predictions

Friday9 October

Saturday10 October

Sunday11 October