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Sunderland vs Brighton prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Sunderland33%
1-1likeliest score
Brighton38%
Draw 29%

Match preview

Our model sees Sunderland vs Brighton as a closely matched Premier League game: Sunderland have a 33% chance of winning, Brighton 38%, and there's a 29% chance of a draw.

We expect around 2.6 goals (Sunderland 1.2, Brighton 1.3), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 47% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 53%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Sunderland win33%
Draw29%
Brighton win38%

Goals

1.2–1.3Expected goals
47%Over 2.5 goals
53%Under 2.5 goals
53%Both teams score

Sunderland vs Brighton: quick answers

Who will win Sunderland vs Brighton?

Brighton are favourites to win, with a 38% chance. Sunderland 33%, draw 29%, Brighton 38%.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Brighton?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Sunderland 1.2, Brighton 1.3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 53% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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