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Watford vs Burnley prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Watford27%
1-1likeliest score
Burnley43%
Draw 30%

Match preview

Burnley are favourites away at Watford with a 43% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Watford have a 27% chance and a draw is 30%.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.2 expected goals (Watford 0.9, Burnley 1.2) and only a 37% chance of three or more goals.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 43%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Watford win27%
Draw30%
Burnley win43%

Goals

0.9–1.2Expected goals
37%Over 2.5 goals
63%Under 2.5 goals
43%Both teams score

Watford vs Burnley: quick answers

Who will win Watford vs Burnley?

Burnley are favourites to win, with a 43% chance. Watford 27%, draw 30%, Burnley 43%.

What is the predicted score for Watford vs Burnley?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Watford 0.9, Burnley 1.2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 43% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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