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Benfica vs Guimaraes prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Benfica75%
2-0predicted score
GUIGuimaraes10%
Draw 16%

Match preview

Benfica are strong favourites at home to Guimaraes, with a 75% chance of winning. Guimaraes win 10% of the time in our model, and the draw is 16%.

Goals look likely. We expect around 3.1 goals in total (Benfica 2.4, Guimaraes 0.7), with a 61% chance of three or more.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 47%. Our predicted score is 2-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Benfica win75%
Draw16%
Guimaraes win10%

Goals

2.4–0.7Expected goals
61%Over 2.5 goals
39%Under 2.5 goals
47%Both teams score

Benfica vs Guimaraes: quick answers

Who will win Benfica vs Guimaraes?

Benfica are favourites to win, with a 75% chance. Benfica 75%, draw 16%, Guimaraes 10%.

What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Guimaraes?

Our predicted score is 2-0. Expected goals: Benfica 2.4, Guimaraes 0.7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 47% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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