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Freiburg vs Schalke 04 prediction

PredictionSunday, 11 October 2026
Freiburg43%
1-1likeliest score
Schalke 0426%
Draw 31%

Match preview

Freiburg are favourites at home to Schalke 04 with a 43% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Schalke 04 have a 26% chance and a draw is 31%.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.2 expected goals (Freiburg 1.3, Schalke 04 0.9) and only a 37% chance of three or more goals.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 44%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Freiburg win43%
Draw31%
Schalke 04 win26%

Goals

1.3–0.9Expected goals
37%Over 2.5 goals
63%Under 2.5 goals
44%Both teams score

Freiburg vs Schalke 04: quick answers

Who will win Freiburg vs Schalke 04?

Freiburg are favourites to win, with a 43% chance. Freiburg 43%, draw 31%, Schalke 04 26%.

What is the predicted score for Freiburg vs Schalke 04?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Freiburg 1.3, Schalke 04 0.9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 44% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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