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Troyes vs Marseille prediction

PredictionSunday, 11 October 2026
Troyes22%
1-1likeliest score
Marseille55%
Draw 23%

Match preview

Marseille are favourites away at Troyes with a 55% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Troyes have a 22% chance and a draw is 23%.

We expect around 3.0 goals (Troyes 1.1, Marseille 1.9), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 58% for over.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (57%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Troyes win22%
Draw23%
Marseille win55%

Goals

1.1–1.9Expected goals
58%Over 2.5 goals
42%Under 2.5 goals
57%Both teams score

Troyes vs Marseille: quick answers

Who will win Troyes vs Marseille?

Marseille are favourites to win, with a 55% chance. Troyes 22%, draw 23%, Marseille 55%.

What is the predicted score for Troyes vs Marseille?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Troyes 1.1, Marseille 1.9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 57% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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