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Burgos vs Granada prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Burgos47%
1-0predicted score
Granada25%
Draw 28%

Match preview

Burgos are favourites at home to Granada with a 47% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Granada have a 25% chance and a draw is 28%.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.3 expected goals (Burgos 1.4, Granada 0.9) and only a 40% chance of three or more goals.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 45%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Burgos win47%
Draw28%
Granada win25%

Goals

1.4–0.9Expected goals
40%Over 2.5 goals
60%Under 2.5 goals
45%Both teams score

Burgos vs Granada: quick answers

Who will win Burgos vs Granada?

Burgos are favourites to win, with a 47% chance. Burgos 47%, draw 28%, Granada 25%.

What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Granada?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Burgos 1.4, Granada 0.9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 45% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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