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Stoke vs Middlesbrough prediction

PredictionTuesday, 13 October 2026
Stoke32%
1-1likeliest score
Middlesbrough40%
Draw 28%

Match preview

Middlesbrough are favourites away at Stoke with a 40% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Stoke have a 32% chance and a draw is 28%.

We expect around 2.5 goals (Stoke 1.2, Middlesbrough 1.4), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 46% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 52%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Stoke win32%
Draw28%
Middlesbrough win40%

Goals

1.2–1.4Expected goals
46%Over 2.5 goals
54%Under 2.5 goals
52%Both teams score

Stoke vs Middlesbrough: quick answers

Who will win Stoke vs Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough are favourites to win, with a 40% chance. Stoke 32%, draw 28%, Middlesbrough 40%.

What is the predicted score for Stoke vs Middlesbrough?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Stoke 1.2, Middlesbrough 1.4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 52% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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