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QPR vs Derby prediction

PredictionWednesday, 14 October 2026
QPR41%
1-1likeliest score
Derby31%
Draw 28%

Match preview

QPR are favourites at home to Derby with a 41% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Derby have a 31% chance and a draw is 28%.

We expect around 2.6 goals (QPR 1.4, Derby 1.2), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 47% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 52%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

QPR win41%
Draw28%
Derby win31%

Goals

1.4–1.2Expected goals
47%Over 2.5 goals
53%Under 2.5 goals
52%Both teams score

QPR vs Derby: quick answers

Who will win QPR vs Derby?

QPR are favourites to win, with a 41% chance. QPR 41%, draw 28%, Derby 31%.

What is the predicted score for QPR vs Derby?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: QPR 1.4, Derby 1.2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 52% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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