QPR vs Derby prediction
QPR41%
Derby31%Match preview
QPR are favourites at home to Derby with a 41% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Derby have a 31% chance and a draw is 28%.
We expect around 2.6 goals (QPR 1.4, Derby 1.2), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 47% for over.
Both teams scoring is roughly even at 52%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.
Result chances
Goals
QPR vs Derby: quick answers
Who will win QPR vs Derby?
QPR are favourites to win, with a 41% chance. QPR 41%, draw 28%, Derby 31%.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Derby?
Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: QPR 1.4, Derby 1.2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
There's a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% of under.
Will both teams score?
Both teams score in 52% of our model's outcomes for this match.
These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.
More Championship predictions
Friday9 October
West Ham71%
QPR13%








