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Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Bayern Munich74%
2-1predicted score
RB Leipzig11%
Draw 15%

Match preview

Bayern Munich are strong favourites at home to RB Leipzig, with a 74% chance of winning. RB Leipzig win 11% of the time in our model, and the draw is 15%.

Goals look likely. We expect around 4.1 goals in total (Bayern Munich 3.0, RB Leipzig 1.1), with a 78% chance of three or more.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (65%). Our predicted score is 2-1, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Bayern Munich win74%
Draw15%
RB Leipzig win11%

Goals

3.0–1.1Expected goals
78%Over 2.5 goals
22%Under 2.5 goals
65%Both teams score

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig: quick answers

Who will win Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern Munich are favourites to win, with a 74% chance. Bayern Munich 74%, draw 15%, RB Leipzig 11%.

What is the predicted score for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?

Our predicted score is 2-1. Expected goals: Bayern Munich 3.0, RB Leipzig 1.1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and 22% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 65% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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