Derby vs Stoke prediction
Derby46%
Stoke26%Match preview
Derby are favourites at home to Stoke with a 46% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Stoke have a 26% chance and a draw is 28%.
We expect around 2.4 goals (Derby 1.4, Stoke 1.0), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 43% for over.
Both teams scoring is roughly even at 48%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.
Result chances
Goals
Derby vs Stoke: quick answers
Who will win Derby vs Stoke?
Derby are favourites to win, with a 46% chance. Derby 46%, draw 28%, Stoke 26%.
What is the predicted score for Derby vs Stoke?
Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Derby 1.4, Stoke 1.0.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
There's a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% of under.
Will both teams score?
Both teams score in 48% of our model's outcomes for this match.
These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.
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