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Schalke 04 vs Mainz prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Schalke 0439%
1-0predicted score
Mainz28%
Draw 33%

Match preview

Our model sees Schalke 04 vs Mainz as a closely matched Bundesliga game: Schalke 04 have a 39% chance of winning, Mainz 28%, and there's a 33% chance of a draw.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.0 expected goals (Schalke 04 1.1, Mainz 0.9) and only a 33% chance of three or more goals.

At least one side keeping a clean sheet is the more likely outcome, with both teams scoring at 41%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Schalke 04 win39%
Draw33%
Mainz win28%

Goals

1.1–0.9Expected goals
33%Over 2.5 goals
67%Under 2.5 goals
41%Both teams score

Schalke 04 vs Mainz: quick answers

Who will win Schalke 04 vs Mainz?

Schalke 04 are favourites to win, with a 39% chance. Schalke 04 39%, draw 33%, Mainz 28%.

What is the predicted score for Schalke 04 vs Mainz?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Schalke 04 1.1, Mainz 0.9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 67% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 41% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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