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Southampton vs Bolton prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Southampton68%
2-1predicted score
Bolton14%
Draw 18%

Match preview

Southampton are strong favourites at home to Bolton, with a 68% chance of winning. Bolton win 14% of the time in our model, and the draw is 18%.

Goals look likely. We expect around 3.6 goals in total (Southampton 2.5, Bolton 1.1), with a 69% chance of three or more.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (61%). Our predicted score is 2-1, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Southampton win68%
Draw18%
Bolton win14%

Goals

2.5–1.1Expected goals
69%Over 2.5 goals
31%Under 2.5 goals
61%Both teams score

Southampton vs Bolton: quick answers

Who will win Southampton vs Bolton?

Southampton are favourites to win, with a 68% chance. Southampton 68%, draw 18%, Bolton 14%.

What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Bolton?

Our predicted score is 2-1. Expected goals: Southampton 2.5, Bolton 1.1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 31% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 61% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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