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Union Berlin vs Dortmund prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Union Berlin18%
0-2predicted score
Dortmund58%
Draw 24%

Match preview

Dortmund are favourites away at Union Berlin with a 58% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Union Berlin have a 18% chance and a draw is 24%.

We expect around 2.9 goals (Union Berlin 1.0, Dortmund 1.9), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 55% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 54%. Our predicted score is 0-2, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Union Berlin win18%
Draw24%
Dortmund win58%

Goals

1.0–1.9Expected goals
55%Over 2.5 goals
45%Under 2.5 goals
54%Both teams score

Union Berlin vs Dortmund: quick answers

Who will win Union Berlin vs Dortmund?

Dortmund are favourites to win, with a 58% chance. Union Berlin 18%, draw 24%, Dortmund 58%.

What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Dortmund?

Our predicted score is 0-2. Expected goals: Union Berlin 1.0, Dortmund 1.9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 54% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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