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Everton vs Chelsea prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Everton36%
1-0predicted score
Chelsea34%
Draw 29%

Match preview

Our model sees Everton vs Chelsea as a closely matched Premier League game: Everton have a 36% chance of winning, Chelsea 34%, and there's a 29% chance of a draw.

We expect around 2.5 goals (Everton 1.3, Chelsea 1.2), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 46% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 53%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Everton win36%
Draw29%
Chelsea win34%

Goals

1.3–1.2Expected goals
46%Over 2.5 goals
54%Under 2.5 goals
53%Both teams score

Everton vs Chelsea: quick answers

Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton are favourites to win, with a 36% chance. Everton 36%, draw 29%, Chelsea 34%.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Chelsea?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Everton 1.3, Chelsea 1.2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 53% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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