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Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Newcastle46%
2-1predicted score
Aston Villa29%
Draw 25%

Match preview

Newcastle are favourites at home to Aston Villa with a 46% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Aston Villa have a 29% chance and a draw is 25%.

Goals look likely. We expect around 3.1 goals in total (Newcastle 1.8, Aston Villa 1.4), with a 61% chance of three or more.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (63%). Our predicted score is 2-1, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Newcastle win46%
Draw25%
Aston Villa win29%

Goals

1.8–1.4Expected goals
61%Over 2.5 goals
39%Under 2.5 goals
63%Both teams score

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: quick answers

Who will win Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Newcastle are favourites to win, with a 46% chance. Newcastle 46%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 29%.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Our predicted score is 2-1. Expected goals: Newcastle 1.8, Aston Villa 1.4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 63% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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