Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction
Newcastle46%
Aston Villa29%Match preview
Newcastle are favourites at home to Aston Villa with a 46% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Aston Villa have a 29% chance and a draw is 25%.
Goals look likely. We expect around 3.1 goals in total (Newcastle 1.8, Aston Villa 1.4), with a 61% chance of three or more.
Both teams are more likely than not to score (63%). Our predicted score is 2-1, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.
Result chances
Goals
Newcastle vs Aston Villa: quick answers
Who will win Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Newcastle are favourites to win, with a 46% chance. Newcastle 46%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 29%.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted score is 2-1. Expected goals: Newcastle 1.8, Aston Villa 1.4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
There's a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% of under.
Will both teams score?
Both teams score in 63% of our model's outcomes for this match.
These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.










