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Celta vs Alaves prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Celta50%
1-0predicted score
Alaves23%
Draw 26%

Match preview

Celta are favourites at home to Alaves with a 50% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Alaves have a 23% chance and a draw is 26%.

We expect around 2.5 goals (Celta 1.5, Alaves 1.0), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 45% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 48%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Celta win50%
Draw26%
Alaves win23%

Goals

1.5–1.0Expected goals
45%Over 2.5 goals
55%Under 2.5 goals
48%Both teams score

Celta vs Alaves: quick answers

Who will win Celta vs Alaves?

Celta are favourites to win, with a 50% chance. Celta 50%, draw 26%, Alaves 23%.

What is the predicted score for Celta vs Alaves?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Celta 1.5, Alaves 1.0.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 48% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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