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Leeds vs Man United prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Leeds40%
1-0predicted score
Man United32%
Draw 28%

Match preview

Our model sees Leeds vs Man United as a closely matched Premier League game: Leeds have a 40% chance of winning, Man United 32%, and there's a 28% chance of a draw.

We expect around 2.6 goals (Leeds 1.4, Man United 1.2), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 49% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 55%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Leeds win40%
Draw28%
Man United win32%

Goals

1.4–1.2Expected goals
49%Over 2.5 goals
51%Under 2.5 goals
55%Both teams score

Leeds vs Man United: quick answers

Who will win Leeds vs Man United?

Leeds are favourites to win, with a 40% chance. Leeds 40%, draw 28%, Man United 32%.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Man United?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Leeds 1.4, Man United 1.2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 55% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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