Pundict

Predictions / La Liga

Malaga vs Sociedad prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Malaga32%
0-1predicted score
Sociedad39%
Draw 29%

Match preview

Our model sees Malaga vs Sociedad as a closely matched La Liga game: Malaga have a 32% chance of winning, Sociedad 39%, and there's a 29% chance of a draw.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.2 expected goals (Malaga 1.0, Sociedad 1.2) and only a 39% chance of three or more goals.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 45%. Our predicted score is 0-1, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Malaga win32%
Draw29%
Sociedad win39%

Goals

1.0–1.2Expected goals
39%Over 2.5 goals
61%Under 2.5 goals
45%Both teams score

Malaga vs Sociedad: quick answers

Who will win Malaga vs Sociedad?

Sociedad are favourites to win, with a 39% chance. Malaga 32%, draw 29%, Sociedad 39%.

What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Sociedad?

Our predicted score is 0-1. Expected goals: Malaga 1.0, Sociedad 1.2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 45% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

More La Liga predictions

Saturday10 October

Sunday11 October