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Predictions / Brasileirão Série A

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Atletico-MG56%
1-0predicted score
Coritiba20%
Draw 24%

Match preview

Atletico-MG are favourites at home to Coritiba with a 56% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Coritiba have a 20% chance and a draw is 24%.

We expect around 2.8 goals (Atletico-MG 1.8, Coritiba 1.0), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 52% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 52%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Atletico-MG win56%
Draw24%
Coritiba win20%

Goals

1.8–1.0Expected goals
52%Over 2.5 goals
48%Under 2.5 goals
52%Both teams score

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba: quick answers

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?

Atletico-MG are favourites to win, with a 56% chance. Atletico-MG 56%, draw 24%, Coritiba 20%.

What is the predicted score for Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.8, Coritiba 1.0.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 52% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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