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Predictions / Brasileirão Série A

Sao Paulo vs Vasco prediction

PredictionWednesday 1 January 2026
Sao Paulo51%
1-0predicted score
Vasco23%
Draw 26%

Match preview

Sao Paulo are favourites at home to Vasco with a 51% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Vasco have a 23% chance and a draw is 26%.

We expect around 2.6 goals (Sao Paulo 1.6, Vasco 1.0), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 48% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 50%. Our predicted score is 1-0, the most likely scoreline for the result we favour, although with so many possible scores, no exact score is likely on its own.

Result chances

Sao Paulo win51%
Draw26%
Vasco win23%

Goals

1.6–1.0Expected goals
48%Over 2.5 goals
52%Under 2.5 goals
50%Both teams score

Sao Paulo vs Vasco: quick answers

Who will win Sao Paulo vs Vasco?

Sao Paulo are favourites to win, with a 51% chance. Sao Paulo 51%, draw 26%, Vasco 23%.

What is the predicted score for Sao Paulo vs Vasco?

Our predicted score is 1-0. Expected goals: Sao Paulo 1.6, Vasco 1.0.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 50% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

Saturday10 October

Brasileirão Série A1 match
Vasco55%
Remo22%
2-1predicted
Draw 23%

Sunday11 October